Sunday, March 1, 2009

(132) 不能只看表面的财报

很多时候,单看 P&L, Balance Sheet or Cash Flow, 并不能仔细地了解公司的整体营运情况。要清楚地了解,最重要的是配合财报里的全部 footnote.

对一直有看我的 blog 的朋友,我很抱歉。因为最近我真的开始忙了,没有太多时间详细地分解。

对于 Maybulk Q4 的业绩,看是盈利蹉跌很多,但如果你详细看完报告的 footnote, 其实不然。这也是我为何对它的业绩感到欣慰。

还好有人将其中的重点发表了出来:

“Other operating income for Q4 reported a loss of RM26.9m compared to Q3’s net income of RM93.1m. This is attributable to mark-to market provisions of RM46.7m for the Group’s currency position and its’ quoted equities investments.”

其实,这个季度的低盈利只是个假像,主要是管理层为未来外汇潜在亏损和股票投资做出很大的后备(provision)。约有4千六百万。如扣除这个provision,这个季度的eps就有5 sen.。

The operating profit for FY2008 of RM338.8m reports an 11% decrease against the previous year’s RM379.5m. This was improved by other operating income of “RM219.5m, comprising mainly of gains from sale of vessels (RM327.3m) and interestincome (RM36.4m) and adverse mark-to-market provisions for the Group’s quoted investments (RM93.6m) and foreign currency basket (RM48.6m). Administrative overheads decrease by 9.2%.”

扣除mark to market provision 给外汇和股票,其实MAybulk全年的eps 有将近60sen。但然,这是乐观的看法,而且股票和外汇在未来也可能会增值的。所以我觉得管理层派发30sen股息一点都不过分。